I’m going to
start by making an excuse.
to be really tough to correctly predict the exact nominees for the best picture
Academy Award this year – nominations for the Oscars are to be announced early Tuesday morning in Los Angeles –
because we don’t even know how many there will be.
This year, I
like the idea of picking seven nominees. I doubt Oscar voters will stick to
just five, but this was, in my estimation, a weaker year in film, so 10 seems a
bit much. (That said, having 10 nominees is better for the overall business, so
I think it’s more likely there will be 10 than five.)
knows, the Golden Globes are the best predictor of the Oscars, so my choices
largely will be picked from winners and nominees of the Globes’ two film
categories – best drama and best comedy or musical.
I’m going to
take four of the five nominees from the best drama category: “The Help,” “Hugo,”
“The Ides of March,” “War Horse” and the winner, “The Descendants.” From the
comedy or musical pool, I will take only “50/50” and the winner, “The Artist.”
seventh pick – my wild card, if you will – I’ll go with “J. Edgar,” if only
because Oscar voters love director Clint Eastwood.
confident am I in these picks? To be honest, not very. Truthfully, the only two
I would put money on are “The Descendants” and “The Artist.” The latter – a wonderful
homage to the silent film era – is likely to win the big prize, and that would
be just fine with me.
The Weinstein Co.
Jean Dujardin stars in the sure-to-be-nominated film "The Artist."
might be a bit of wishful thinking. I have “50/50” in the mix because I loved
it and would like to see it get nominated. There’s a good shot it won’t. The
same goes for “War Horse,” a Steven Spielberg-directed film that tugs at the
heartstrings. I simply didn’t find the movie as sappy as many critics did.
And I wouldn’t
be shocked if another film from the musical or comedy category – Woody Allen’s “Midnight
in Paris” – gets nominated, but I’ve yet to see it. (I hope to wrong that
right, tonight, in fact.)
Find out how
close to the mark I hit by checking www.News-Herald.com
Tuesday morning for a rundown of all the nominees.
-- Mark Meszoros | Entertainment@News-Herald.com